Well, congratulations to the Phillies as they have won today 8-5 and have taken a 2-0 lead!!

Seaosnal Changes are underway!  This is very apparent as you look at what is going on out in the western states as an early season snow set up is underway which will give plenty of snow to the mountains.  Just checked out Yellowstone and the conditions are as follows:

Light Snow 20 degrees.... They have a winter storm warning for 6-12 inches at lake level, 8-14 inhces in the hills around the lake and then 1-2 feet in the mountain tops.  This is fairly impressive and this situation is about 2-4 weeks earlier than usual. 

Snow will fall inaddition through the Rockies and the California Mountains.  There will also be a rather significant Santa Anna Wind developing for Southern California so the fire season will likely erupt this weekend into early next week.

I will not put my winter outllok out until October 31st but it does appear it will be a cold winter Rockies eastward!!!  We will talk snow too a lot more than last year that I gurantee.

GFS What Are You Doing To Me??

If anyone has been keeping tabs on the GFS it brings a boat load of cold air to the Eastern part of the Country especially the Mason Dixon Line, Great Lakes into the Northeast.  The GFS also further out near the 27th of October really pops a storm and the 540 line is around which would be very impressive but for now I think it is all fantasy.  I think the GFS is on to something though for much further down the road in time.

What does it mean?

I think the GFS as usual over plays things especially early in the season and  the further out it gets but one must not ignore its signals as usual.

I think the outcome will be a below normal temperature pattern from October 20th onward into Novemeber with a return to wetter weather pattern.  I guess you cannot rule out some early season snow showers Great Lakes Northern PA northward but I think that is as far it goes and is going out on a limb. 

The end result for the Philadelphia region is probably wet, windy, and much cooler with a few days likely in the upper 40's and lower 50's by day and possibly an early freeze with temps into the upper 20's for some of our northwestern zones.  We shall see just how much the GFS is out in fantasy land or is the GFS picking up on what could be quite a cold spell of weather with snow for someone October 20th to November 1st!!??

Thanks For Reading
Kevin Reilly
Krteacher1
Myweatherlive.com
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Below is the current water vapor map which is often times better than models out to 36 hours.

Water Vapor Satellite