
The very mild August weather continues half way through the month. So far, this entire Summer has been quite mild, with only a handfull of 90's. The forecast made by Gary Lezak (using the LRC or Lezak's Recurring Cycle) has been dead on. He predicted a "vauge" cooler and wetter than average Summer. All of the heavier rain has fallen in the months of May, June, and July. August has been extremely dry, with only 0.16" at KCI. At least we arent experiencing a big heat wave during this very dry spell.
There is a chance of rain tonight and tomorrow, but it will not amount to much, maybe a quarter inch or so, as this weakening upper level low, and dropped south out of Canada last week slides by our area. The upper low was responsible for dumping around 5 inches in Oklahoma City setting the All-time moonthly total which is now over 10 inches. You think it would rain a lot.
The latest NAM has a front approaching on Saturday morning. Thunderstorms form and it appears we are about to get blasted by some morning rain on Saturday, but there is an inverted trough/upper level trough right up the state line and it will likely keep that frontal rain to our west and the front will get absorbed and fall apart as it approaches. The upper level trough alone should be enough for it to rain Saturday. It is just another way to have a wet set-up that won't produce rain. We are due for a warming trend and dry spell. But, it is still drying out so this will be a dry spell on top of a dry spell.
Alex Pickman...( www.freewebs.com/alexpickman )