[Offline]
Posted: (October 04, 2008 11:38 am)
I am watching the potential for severe weather today in parts of NE Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The Storms Prediction Center has not placed this area in a Severe Risk but you could see a few isloted storms in the next 6 hours. Here is the statement from the SPC.
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WILL CARVE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN STATES AND ROCKIES THROUGH THE PERIOD...SHIFTING DOWNSTREAM
RIDGE EWD ACROSS THE LOWER/MID MS RIVER VALLEY. IN RESPONSE TO
STRENGTHENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST...PRESSURE FALLS WILL
SOLIDIFY SURFACE LEE TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS EXTENDING FROM LOW
CENTER OVER ERN MT INTO WRN TX.
IN ADDITION...LARGER WARM FRONT
WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS SEWD INTO THE
LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY BY LATE TODAY...WITH ERN END LIFTING NNEWD
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE MID MS/MO RIVER VALLEYS.
...MID MO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MID/UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY...
AS SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTS NEWD TONIGHT...LOCATION FOR MOST
FAVORABLE DEEP ASCENT ALONG NOSE STRENGTHENING SSWLY LLJ WILL
OVERSPREAD THIS REGION AND SUPPORT ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AFTER 06Z.
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR MODEST
MUCAPE AND LIKELY SUPPORT HAIL /SOME OF WHICH MAY BE MARGINALLY
SEVERE/ IN THE STRONGER CORES.
CLICK HERE FOR DOPPLER RADAR OF THE REGION
