Posted: (September 25, 2008 07:44 am)
Looking at the radar imagery and satellite presentation we do have a pretty decent system off the Carolina coast this morning. This weather system has sustained winds of 60mph + as of 7am EDT. The radar shows bands of rain and storms getting better organized. Some buoys offshore are now reporting winds of 50mph or more North and West of the center. This system could become Kyle or be sub-tropical Kyle today. Not sure why they are waiting to name this since the winds are easily over 39mph ?
Below is the latest info.....
| Invest94 Track (2008) North Carolina LOW / Sub Tropical LOWle | ||||
| Date (UTC) |
Position | Pressure mb (in) |
Winds mph (kts) |
|
| Lat | Lon | |||
| Sep 25, 2008 0600 | 32N | 75.7W | 29.47 (998) | 63 (55) |
| Sep 25, 2008 0600 | 32N | 75.7W | 29.47 (998) | 63 (55) |
| Sep 25, 2008 0000 | 31.9N | 75.4W | 29.53 (1000) | 63 (55) |
| Sep 25, 2008 0000 | 31.9N | 75.4W | 29.53 (1000) | 63 (55) |
| Sep 24, 2008 1800 | 31.9N | 75.2W | 29.59 (1002) | 63 (55) |
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THE LATEST PROJECTIONS FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA LOW 94L
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The models take this system into the Carolinas at about the NC/SC border. This would bring tropical storm force winds to the NC/SC Coast later this morning and into tonight. Expect this inland track to bring rain here with over 1" likely. Some places could see as much as 3-4" of rain.
[Online]
Totally Does Not Matter
Posted: (September 25, 2008 04:39 pm) by: KevinReilly
The effects of whether this storm is a tropical storm or Noreaster the effects are the same. This storm in my opinion is a classic Noreaster set up with strong high pressure to the north and a very strong warm tropical flow off the Atlantic causing a classic Coastal warm frontal situation.
Kevin
[Offline]
Yeah I know
Posted: (September 25, 2008 01:07 pm) by: FrankSilvo
I just think this sub-tropical stuff just confuses people. Thanks for the explanation. Your comments are read by many and point well taken. Thanks Matt.
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Why it is not being named
Posted: (September 25, 2008 12:53 pm) by: MattGlazewski
The storm is not being named because it is still a baroclinic low embedded within a frontal system. The storm is not warm-core at all, therefore it is not a tropical cyclone. It is beginning to look a little more subtropical in its structure near the center, but the storm is still very much an extratropical cyclone and I believe it will be that up until the point where it moves inshore. Naming it at this point is useless, since there are already storm warnings up along the coast, coupled with the rain and coastal flooding advisories.
