Posted: (September 04, 2008 01:32 am)
| IMPACT OF HANNA THIS WEEKEND | |||
|
CITY |
RAIN GFS |
RAIN NAM |
CONDITIONS/WIND/IMPACT |
|
RALEIGH NC |
.06" |
4.06" |
SQUALLS, RAIN , SOME WIND |
|
WILMINGTON NC |
.34" |
.53" |
CATEGORY 1-2 HURRICANE |
|
CAPE HATTERAS NC |
.90" |
.36" |
CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE |
|
RICHMOND VA |
.38" |
2.43" |
MAINLY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS |
|
WASHINGTON DC |
.33" |
2.59" |
MAINLY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS |
|
BALTIMORE MD |
.48" |
2.41" |
SOME FLOODING IN AREA |
|
VIRGINIA BCH VA |
.85" |
.59" |
SQUALLS, BREEZY |
|
OCEAN CITY MD |
.80" |
.77" |
SOME HEAVY SQUALLS, WINDY |
|
REHOBOTH BCH DE |
.83" |
.98" |
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS |
|
PHILADELPHIA PA |
.85" |
1.40" |
RAIN, BREEZY, HVY RAIN N & W |
|
ATLANTIC CITY NJ |
.97" |
.54" |
TROPICAL STRM WINDS, SOME RAIN |
|
TRENTON NJ |
.76" |
1.90" |
SQUALLS, SOME HVY RAIN AT TIMES |
|
ALLENTOWN PA |
.38" |
5.00" |
POSS. OROGRAPHIC RAIN FLOODING |
|
SEASIDE HEIGHTS NJ |
.22" |
.58" |
MINIMAL TROP STORM WINDS, RAIN |
|
NEW YORK CITY |
.73" |
1.77" |
WINDY WITH SQUALLS, RAIN |
|
WESTERN LONG ISL |
.84" |
1.54" |
WINDY WITH SQUALLS, RAIN |
|
EASTERN LONG ISL |
.93" |
1.24" |
WINDY WITH SQUALLS, RAIN |
|
NEWARK NJ |
.73" |
1.73" |
BREEZY WITH SHOWERS, STORMS |
| OVERALL MINOR IMPACT | MODEL CHANGES BELOW…… | ||
| OVERALL MODERATE IMPACT | GFS LOOKS ABOUT THE SAME | ||
| OVERALL HIGH IMPACT | NAM SHOWS RALEIGH & ALLENTWN | ||
| FLOODING MINOR | HEAVY RAIN, MAY BE AN ERROR ? | ||
| FLOODING MOD. | BOTH MODELS ASSUME A TRACK | ||
| FLOODING HIGH | MAINLY OFFSHORE OF US COAST | ||
You gotta wonder if the rain totals for Allentown PA is an orographic thing or an error on the NAM. I see it to for Raleigh NC but that may be true because it is closer to the landfall of Hanna just to the south. I think we'll see if this is REAL or and error on the 12z/8am EST run of the NAM Thursday morning.
[Offline]
Not Too Bad
Posted: (September 04, 2008 06:21 am) by: barr77
This doesn't look like a huge deal for those of us in the immediate Philadelphia area (I'm in Cherry Hill, NJ). Based on what I'm reading, I guess we can figure on some downed tree branches and possibly minor wind damage along with a few downpours but no major flooding (perhaps temporary flooded roads during times of heavy rain).
Ike could be another story. More and more that's looking like another east coast runner and it packs a lot more punch than this one. Hopefully it will drop in strength rapidly before coming our way, or else it could be ugly in the Delaware Valley mid to late next week. Ugh.
